When war is easier than victory

The Pirates beat the Phillies 2-1 on Sunday and I can tell everyone is angry about it. The Phillies are a potential World Series contender, just swept by a team they hope to do to it and fell to 1-9 in the first 10 games. As far as Pirates are concerned, Pirates have just been on their internal competitors (actually three ended), but Paul Skenes didn’t win.

The biggest, most terrifying pitcher in the league has entered 7 2/3 innings, allowing only one future game but left the game when tied for eighth place in the game. This puts NL Cy Young Frontrunner at 1.88 in 91 innings, but the record is just 4-6. For Skenes, is it crucial to win? Not exactly. But the inconsistency between record and performance is just another reminder of little support for this disappointing team, which has brought generations of talent to the legs.

Skenes is the Pirates’ rotation class, but he isn’t the only talented pitcher Bucs have. Even though Jared Jones and Johan Oviedo stretched their elbows in the store, Mitch Keller was doing well. Keller ranked in the league’s top 25 in the innings and wars, and despite the indifference in the number of 3-pointers, he kept the ball in the yard and scraped it out with a 4.13 ERA – which is 100 ERA – on the DOT – with a FIP of 3.27.

Skenes will be unhappy with only four wins, but if you provide Keller with a win, he will bite your hand. Greater Iowa is 1-8.

War and pitcher wins are sometimes called by the same shorthand, but the former is harder to get than the latter. Actually, I don’t think it’s possible for a pitcher to get a full win through the formulas of our website or any other game in a single nine-inning game.

Since 1901, the starter pitcher has 9,018 seasons qualified for individual interest rate leaders (i.e., one inning per team game). At that time, the average total of wins for qualified pitchers was 13; the average war was only 2.9. The single-season war record is 11.6, 1999, set by Pedro Martinez.

You may be surprised by the number of 10 pitching seasons in Major League Baseball history. This surprised me. There are only six to seven of the last 125 seasons, depending on how you get around the characters. Actually, I think you can probably guess most of the pitchers involved, if not a specific season.

So, yes, it’s just a list of questions: “Who is the best pitcher ever?” And Walter Johnson, Lefty Grove, Tom Seaver, Warren Spahn… none of these guys have posted 10 wars in a season.

By comparison, 7,006 of the 9,018 qualified pitchers in AL/NL history have won 10 games. There are 812 20-win seasons, 126 25-win seasons and 21 30-win seasons. The record of winning in a season was 41, set in 1904 by Jack Chesbro of the New York Highlanders. This is probably the most indestructible main record in the book. (At least for the starting pitcher. Let me take charge of the Dodgers and allow me to run Ben Casparius into the ground, I bet we can win with a 40-plus victory.)

Since 1901, AL and NL qualified pitchers have achieved about four and a half wins in every win above the substitute. Although war may be negative, it is rare for pitchers to be able to qualify for the era title while below the substitution level. Only 88 times (or about every 100 individual player seasons) pitchers showed negative wars.

What does this have to do with Keller? Well, Keller started the game Tuesday night with a win and a 1.6 war. That’s a huge A large number of Historical distortion. War has more qualified pitcher seasons than wins in the same number as the 10-time chariot pitcher season (if you bypass Koufax): Seven.

Even with the fact that even if four of this pitcher season (Keller, Louis Severino, Dylan Seuss and Kyle Freelander) were held this year. This number may have dropped when you read this article. Keller and stopped selling on Tuesday night, Wednesday, Freeland. The victory of any of them will make their victory more than their war.

Even early in the season, it’s unusual to have four qualified starters with a negative AR (what I’m talking about War Minus wins because if you subtract “W” from “W” you get “AR” and you get “AR”)

Last year, there were two qualified negative starters on this point, none of them in 2023. The number of modalities per season is one. Since June 10, 2010, we have not had four negative AR pitchers.

This means that only three qualified pitchers went through the entire 162 times (actually the entire 154 in two cases), with more wars than victory.

Pulling something similar apart requires a series of special circumstances. Nabors made a 36-117-1 score by pitching for one of the worst teams in baseball history: the 1916 Philadelphia Athletics.

The A won three World Series four years ago, trailing the $100,000 infielder and is led by Hall of Famers Charles Bender and Eddie Plank. By 1916, Bend and Board had jumped into the Federal League, with Connie Mack selling Eddie Collins, Jack Barry and home run Baker, who remained on the full-season contract.

Collins went to the White Sox for $50,000, Baker went to the Yankees for $37,500, and Barry went to the Red Sox for $10,000. In the track and field infield, it left only $2,500 worth of value and was shown in the standings.

Nabors threw 212 2/3 innings in 1916, which is more than three quarters of his professional major leagues and is not very good. His batsman hit more bats than he hits and released the 110s era. But he didn’t get much help. A scored only 447 times, the lowest of the year was the lowest of 100 in the AL, and announced the worst hit rate for the Grand Slam.

Nabors won the third game of the season against Boston on April 22 before winning the final 37 games of the year. It’s not like he’s been raised all the time. When Nabors pitched in 1916, the A’s game was 4-35-1.

The Mets in 1978 were in a strong post-training hangover, just like the 1916 A. You will undoubtedly remember that Koosman is No. 2 The Mets’ starter in Seaver, who was behind Seaver, won the World Series in 1969 and the NL Pennant in 1973. The Mets started with a 6-0 record.

But by 1978, the Miracle Metropolis had been disbanded. Tommie Agee retires; Nolan Ryan continues to be a superstar in California. Gil Hodges is dead for a long time. Sifer himself has been traded to the Reds this season, which makes the 35-year-old Koosman one of two champions still playing in the Queens.

Koosman did a good job in the 1978 season, but he definitely didn’t help. He had to throw all nine innings in two of the three wins and then thought I shouldn’t say “all nine innings.” Koosman pitched more than nine innings three times and the Mets lost three times. On August 21, Koosman hit 13 batsmen in 10 innings and was not allowed to run. The Mets are at 11. Losing the game ten days later, he threw 11 innings and allowed three runs, and the Mets lost the game 4-3.

Koosman threw eight or more innings in 10 games in 1978, and the Mets lost each time except for those two full game wins. Of these eight losses, they scored more than three times.

So we have a bad pitcher on a bad team in world history and a good pitcher pitches well and throws a lot of innings on the normal last team. Keller basically adjusted in 2025 for inflation in 1978.

Then there is Hotman. The Tigers in 1948 were also a team of Downswing. Detroit won the World Series in 1945 and finished second in the AL in 1943, 1944, 1946 and 1947. But they won the game 78-76 in 1948. Hal Newhouser leads the league with victory. Virgil Truck, dizzy trout and chunky thugs together in 27-31 form, which is important because I want to mention these three names. If you ask me, there aren’t enough people in the league these days called Virgil, Dizzy and Stubby.

By the way, among the players named Dizzy, the ever-series and professional war leader is Trout, not the dizzy dean. Although Mike Trout is covered in both categories with dizziness and space.

Anyway, Art Houtteman is a local kid who was only 17 years old and was relieved of the 1945 champion team.

Detroit has a Hall of Fame starter (Newhouser), two very good appetizers (truck and trout), and one good one. 4 in Fred Hutchinson. Houtteman started 20 times early this year, including a full game of 11 innings on June 16. The outing and five days later he won by throwing a 3 2/3 innings of no-scoring relief to the Washington Senator.

That was the only two games Hotman won throughout the year. Houtteman threw 6 or more innings in 13 games; the Tigers lost 11 of them, and Hotteman himself was charged with nine of the 11 losses. Although Hotman is not bad, his complaints to his teammates are not as strong as Koosman.

The 20-year-old Houtteman scored 1-14 in 20 games with a 5.01 ERA. The Tigers gave him at least three support in 15 of these 20 games, which is not excellent offensive performance, but enough to win more than one game.

Manager Steve O’Neill moved him to the bullpen after Houtteman lasted just five times on July 31 against the A. Hotman had only two starts in the final two months of the season. The Tigers need help; outside of their first four starters, they had seven pitchers (including Hotman) throwing at least 10 innings in 1948. The era of only 1 player is better than the average, even then it was only 7700% of the seven hundred percent.

Houtteman’s era as a reliefist far outstrips the starter’s run, and he manages to save 10 games in 23 relief appearances. But he finished the game with a record of 2-16, and in one season he played only 2.7 wars in 164 1/3 innings.

What Houtteman has in common with Keller, Severino, and Freeman is that his FIP ended up running low in his time almost. (Freeland is the largest outlier and is currently swinging 3.54 FIP and 5.19 ERA.) ERA-FIP misalignment obviously provides a way for negative seasons unique to FIP-based warfare.

There aren’t many three pitchers in the past 125 years, but for comparison, I’ve done an exciting search of the spin and come up with two negative pitchers of this year (Severino and Yusei Kikuchi), with only one qualified pitcher, and the war is more than wins: Eddie Smith of 1937 A.

Smith pitched for a 54-97-3 team, with an ERA of 3.94 and a FIP of 5.02. It was the 1.5 War, but 4.2 Bwar, he made him past the bar with a record of 4-17.

What does this mean? Well, this is mostly a fun chore. And: The Pirates need to start giving Keller some running support. Or no. If Keller ended with more war than victory, then he would do much more special than Skenis dreamed of.