This is a big week for California baseball. A new leader stands in the NL West after Padres swept the Giants and Angels swept the Dodgers. Padres claimed the only one to have a first inning, while the Dodgers fell into San Diego’s second game. The playoff odds will tell you that the Dodgers are still a favorite, but they lose momentum. According to Fangraphs, the Dodgers had an 83.8% chance of winning the division on the opening day, while Padres had an odds of just 3.8%. Just three weeks ago, Los Angeles had an odds of 96.6% while San Diego had an odds of 1.5%. However, Padres has won 14 of the last 18 games since then, while the Dodgers have won the game 8-10 in the same span. As a result, Fanggraphs now has less than two-thirds (63.8%) odds, while San Diego has slightly more than one-third (36.1%) odds. You can think about it like this: These odds mean that the Padres are now as likely to win on any day as White Sox (.364 win percentage). It’s still unlikely, but especially possible. The White Sox still terrible and still won 44 games.
The California baseball week will last through the weekend as the Dodgers hosted three games at Chavez Ravine, three games hosted by the Dodgers. With series wins, the Dodgers will secure a decisive game this season, which may be crucial in close games. A sweep will give them the first place again. Instead, for Padres, the series will allow them to live to win the finals, and a sweep will give them a four-game mat. Padres leads with four games and will control his destiny for the remaining 38 games in the regular season. After this weekend, they only have three more against the Dodgers.
Dodgers queue to send Clayton Kershaw,,,,, Blake Snelland Tyler Glasnow Go to the mound. Although the team continues to be injured – Recently Tanner Scott,,,,, Kirby Yates,,,,, Hyeseong Kim,,,,, Tommy Edmanand Brock Stewart – Kershaw, Snell and Glasnow and Glasnow Emmet Sheehan and Shohei Ohtaniand at the same time, healthy with the 2025 All-Stars Yoshinobu Yamamoto. While the Dodgers have seen a plunge in the playoff odds over the past three weeks, their starting rotation has resulted in strikeout rates and the mountains during that time. They ranked second in ground ball ratio and XERA and third in FWAR. All that said, the Dodgers starters, if they stay healthy, will be the strength of this team.
As for the Padres, their weekend pitching plans have become more complicated Michael King Scratched by knee inflammation, only one started back to Illinois. He had just returned from a thoracic nerve problem, which kept him in for more than two months. San Diego’s rotation is now more questionable than ever Dylan stops and Nick Pivetta. Yu Darvish He has been inconsistent since his debut in July. The former Ace is almost 39 years old and has missed a lot of time in the past few years. Acquisition on deadline Nestor Cortes There are only two starts since IL’s four-month return and he has yet to stand out from the fifth. It’s hard to know what Paders can get from him, too. Recent recalled Randy Vásquez It’s a great backup plan for King – he’s a more mature starter than most teams boast – but his 5.98 Xera and 5.85 Siera are huge red flags for the 3.93 ERA this season’s 22 season.
Thankfully for Padres, they have the best bullpen in the league to support their starters. Baseball Action President AJ Preller enhances a group already included Robert Suarez,,,,, Adrian Morejon,,,,, Jason Adamand Jeremiah Estrada With flamethrower Mason Miller In a sensational deadline transaction. Padres’ bullpen led the Grand Slam with 37 wins, 40 saves, 2.97 ERA and 6.7 FWAR, and remember Miller has been part of it for weeks. As for the Dodgers, if they don’t miss Scott, Yates, Stewart, they might have a great bullpen Evan Phillips,,,,, Michael Copciand Brusdar Graterol. It would be exaggerating to call their arms a weakness, but one must imagine that Dave Roberts is much less confident than Mike Shildt because it’s time to get his starter out of the game.
It should also be said that Miller and Cortez are far from the only pickup for the trade deadline for Celler. although Andrew Friedman and the Dodgers didn’t add much – Stewart and outfielders Alex Calls If their biggest acquisition – Perel may win the deadline. At least, he won the NL West deadline in the recent MLBTR poll. July 31, CT at 5:01 pm, the latest Padres include Miller, Cortez, Ryan O’Hearn,,,,, Ramon Laureano,,,,, JP Sears,,,,, Freddy Ferminand Will Wagner. At that time, the Dodgers were still in three games with the Padres, but Padres was a brand new team with deeper bullpens, stronger rotations, better catchers and more powerful Attack on the right and left-handed. Equally important, they decided to retain all the major contributors that emerged in pre-climbing trade rumors, including Scease and Suarez.
According to Fangraphs and Pecota, the Dodgers have better odds. They also have better differences, higher Van Graf Wars and reputation for defeat as a team. After all, they are the World Contest champions. They have won 11 NL West over the past 12 seasons. Meanwhile, Padres has not won the West in nearly 20 years. They have not won the championship since the 90s. They never won all. But they play like better teams now and they have a game of lead to prove it. The question is: Can they stick with it?
Will Paders eventually usurp the Dodgers in the NL West? Will the Dodgers’ dynasty last another year? Or can a dark horse in this division make a comeback? Talk your opinion in the poll below!
