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dd-don Don't Stop Pete | Fangraphs Baseball

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“I hate this freak guy,” is one of the biggest compliments people can give each other’s athletes. The Dodgers must get sick, and Pete Crow-Armstrong died. The Cubs and Dodgers opened together in Japan and just played 5 games in 13 days to complete the season series. Crow-Armstrong did his normal speed and defensive performances in those five games, but he also scored 10 of 22 shots on four home runs.

In the two series that just ended, PCA played three-pointers with home runs and doubles in Game 1, while 4-4 played three innings with home runs and the second stolen base. The Cubs won every game through one inning. I think that in a series featuring the Dodgers’ touted three-MVP lineup, there are Kyle Tucker, Dansby Swanson, Teoscar Hernández and partridge in the pear tree, that’s the young PCA single turn to the tide.

Crow-Armstrong is a famous prospect because of his unforgettable name and backstory, he was selected by the Mets, whose teams are not only numerous and loud, but also have a huge attitude towards their prospects. Crow-Armstrong is a OK The prospect is because he is a over runner, wearing over gloves on the midfield court, while the center field players can put out the benchmark and defensive value of 20 runs in a season, and even if they don't hit a little bit, they can be the league average starters.

If all of this sounds familiar, I'll be flattered because it means you remember something I wrote in September. At that time, Crow-Armstrong was in the craze. He has been a bad batsman early in the season, but he changed his stance and swing throughout the middle of the season and greatly improved his offense.

Actually, I changed the changes about Cedric Mullins earlier this week about this type of swing and approach. Crow-Armstrong is 6 feet tall and weighs 184 pounds, and while these sizes are sure of a running figure, PCA is still a tiny (ISH) fast guy. Traditionally speaking, small, fast guys, especially left-handed – should be equipped with swings for contact to maximize their legs. You can beat a weak ground and turn a single into a double by stealing the second shot, but you can't get rid of the strikeout.

This logic is reasonable enough, but when Mullins rejected a brief approach to watch and swung like a big dog, he made his biggest leap as a player. PCA is in the middle of the Speed-Speed ​​Mullins development curve, stuffing about five years of evolution into nine months.

From a practical point of view, what does this mean? Well, the first half PCA is like Billy Hamilton or Jacob Young, a good guy to have in the wild, but you have to hide at the bottom of the lineup. PCA in the second half is like Kevin Kiermaier of a rich man or Jackie Bradley Jr.

PCA's Revenge Carnival

season bb% k% Babip avg OBP SLG WRC+
January 2024 4.6% 25.9% .261 .203 .253 .329 64
The second half 2024 5.5% 22.5% .314 .262 .310 .425 104
2025 5.4% 23.4% .352 .294 .339 .549 146

Take a look from the bear's perspective. This is the player they made a lease deal for Javier Báez, who answered a question honestly, created a major crisis for the Mets and then went on to sign with the Tigers. (And, since we're going to tell the harsh truth at the moment, if you ask me which team messed up the worst by signing members of the 2016 Bears, I have to think one minute before answering: Rockies and Chris Bryant.)

Crow-Armstrong cemented Chicago's elite middle defense with Swanson and Nico Hoerner, and since the Cubs have Tucker, Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki for offensive burdens, they could be fine if the PCA was just a good guy. 7 batsman or what do you have.

But through 26 games, PCA's WRC+146. This will put him between Ketel Marte and Bryce Harper on the rankings throughout the season. This will make the Kiermaier competition almost irrelevant, as I don't think Kiermaier can do this with metal bats at his peak.

Back in September, my most optimistic assessment of the Crow-Armstrong offense was what I could imagine was the WRC+ of the 120s, which would translate into about 6 wars per season given his defense. The Lorenzo Cain peak is an example I used at the time.

But what is the next step? Well, since 2000, there have been 540 separate players seasons, one of which qualifies for the batting championship, mainly playing the midfielder. In 48 of these cases, the relevant players registered at least 15 defensive value. When I sorted the rankings, Franklin Gutierrez's 2009 campaign whistled, as if reminding me that defensive statistics were a little strange in the not too far-reaching past. Nevertheless, you will love the next section.

Crow-Armstrong's Woba is currently at .384. Only five of these Mondo's defensive seasons have a WOBA of .380 or higher.

The most optimistic PCA Comps

season Name g PA human Resources SB avg OBP SLG Wauba BSR leave defense war
2011 Jacoby Ellsbury 158 732 32 39 .321 .376 .552 .400 5.1 47.5 18.0 9.5
2007 Curtis Granderson 158 676 twenty three 26 .302 .361 .552 .388 9.9 40.0 17.5 7.9
2000 Andruw Jones 161 729 36 twenty one .303 .366 .541 .387 1.5 28.7 27.5 7.7
2006 Grady Sizemore 162 751 28 twenty two .290 .375 .533 .383 9.2 40.5 15.2 7.9
2005 Andruw Jones 160 672 51 5 .263 .347 .575 .383 -0.9 27.9 28.5 7.9

Try to focus on the performance of Ellsbury and Sizemore at the time, rather than both of them shortening their careers due to injuries.

Do you have steam now? I have steam. This could be an interesting moment when players become future MVPs, right? I mean, we haven't seen such a two-way midfielder in the past decade.

Crow-Armstrong has been exciting this season, especially after he did a damn thing about the most popular big series in the World Series. In a different sport, the past two weeks will change the global view of the player.

Unfortunately, I had to twitch the brakes a little. Of course, Crow-Armstrong defeating the brain from the Dodgers is just a positive indicator, but I don't say it proves that he has that dawg or something like that in him. Especially because his base numbers, while still impressive, do not fully back up the Zoomer Grady Sizemore Comp.

A bucket of water without cold

season Wauba XWOBA What % hardhit% GB/FB Pull air % Chase % Meatball swing %
January 2024 .255 .246 28.6 28.8 1.05 15.0% 44.1 79.4
The second half 2024 .315 .307 31.0 42.5 0.78 19.5% 39.3 85.9
2025 .384 .311 22.0 39.7 0.63 21.8% 37.9 90.9

Source: Baseball Savant

Even with PCA's performance as the most conservative, I would say he has consolidated his offensive gains in the second half of 2024. He's better than someone like Young or…I'm going to say Brenton Doyle's batsman, but he's also tearing the cover off the ball now, so maybe I'll check him out later.

However, according to Xwoba, rather than backing up the real .380 Woba Guy, it is better to be his batsman eight months ago. Even since then, he's still making more connections and better swing decisions, so I think there's another level out there. His superficial statistics aren't as shown so far this year.

There is certainly no comfort to the Dodgers, and if Crow-Armstrong decided to retreat to the average a few weeks ago, they would at least be better. Is he a star? Let's take a look. But he will definitely produce some celebrity moments.

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