Evaluation of the Point Projection of Toronto Maple Leaf in the NHL Season – Hockey Writer – Toronto Maple Leaf

The time for NHL prediction and prognosis is coming, and many people are Hockey writer Gaze at our crystal balls and look forward to what might happen in the 2025-26 season. When it comes to Toronto Maple Leaf, Rupert McDonald, Spencer Lazary and Peter Baracchini have stabbed some bold predictions.
Meanwhile, I will continue my Maple Leaf prospects in the last preseason, where I evaluated the perspectives put forward by NHL.com’s fantasy hockey staff. Perhaps predictably, last season’s practice produced a bag of hits and turnovers. review:
- I falsely assert that Auston Matthews will surpass his 110-point shot (he is shy with a 78-point shooting percentage).
- I correctly suggest that William Nylander will be missing 100 points (he has 84 points).
- I think Mitch Marner’s 95 points seem reasonable (he scored 102).
- I predict accurately that John Tavares will project his 71 points (he has 74 points in 75 games).
- I think Max Domi will score 50 points (he has 33 points) and register for a double-digit goal total (he has eight), I’m double.
- Matthew Knies drove past his 43-point shot (he had 58), as I said.
- Neither NHL.com nor we anticipated a disappointing season for Morgan Rielly as he was less than the 67 points he expected to score (he would score 41 points).
- We also had a little too high in our debut with the Maple Leafs in Oliver Ekman-Larsson as he scored 29 points, down from his 38-point projection.
- Finally, I foresee the challenge inherent in Joseph Woll’s 33 wins. In a very stable season with Minder, he is still only 27 years old.
With all this in mind, let’s enter a new point prediction season for evaluation:
Auston Matthews: 91 points
Last season’s output – Matthews focused on his new lead captain and played more two-way games – prompted a huge tweak in the view of the Maple Leafs superstar. NHL.com sees him surpassing the 78 points he scored in 67 games last season (ideally healthy), but still hopes he will be expected for his 110-point difference before the 2024-25 campaign.
In fact, it is almost impossible to predict how Matthews will be spent in the future without Marner dragging. On the one hand, Marner assisted Matthews in 20 of his 33 goals last season, so the 28-year-old will certainly feel that there is no ineffectiveness to set up his job. But, on the other hand, he can play more of an Alpha role offensively and see his scoring numbers peak. It is also worth noting that early in the boot camp, it appears that the new addition of Matias MacCelli produced signs of chemistry.
Verdict: It’s hard to call, but Matthews’ ceiling is well above the forecast 91 points.
William Nylander: 84 points
For teams facing a lot of uncertainty, Nylander provides fresh air. He has only missed one game in the past four seasons and has scored 80 to 98 points in each game. Last season, he created a new career-best goal mark (45), but the drop in assists resulted in an 84-point season, consistent with his typical work.
So why does NHL.com do other things besides project Nylander Project to provide more of the same pathways on the way to another 84 points? Perhaps Marner’s absence will put the 29-year-old Swede on more offensive burdens, but he may also be just his goal to enter his 11th NHL season. And he seems to be a reliable point to rely on him as the top 20 scorers in the league.
Verdict: 84 points seem to be consistent with the expectations of the super stable Nylander.
John Tavares: 72 points
Tavares was not a good age last season, and the revival of nearly every game attracted a lot of mind, but did not change his predictions. After recording 74 points in 2024-25, NHL.com gave him 72 points this time. While copying his 0.987-point score can be a daunting task, there is reason to expect the normally healthy 35-year-old to not miss seven games, the most he has missed in a season since 2013-14.
We all know that Matthews will be the last player introduced as part of the home opener next Wednesday and may applaud. But let’s hope Tavares is equally welcomed after following a resilient season, signing a team-friendly four-year contract worth $17.5 million to stay in Toronto. Now, tickets are priced under $4.4 million this season, and a 72-point campaign will bring great value.
Verdict: Tavares may show signs of a decline, but a nearby 72-point season should still be in the card.
Matthew’s Knife: 68 points
How enviable are blades in terms of tools? So much that the 22-year-old rising star is expected to be 68 points, while the projection is still a bit on the low end. After Phoenix, the Arizona jumped from 35 points to 58 points, and his goal total nearly doubled, he had a chance to add a considerable increase again.

(Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn image)
On the one hand, the Cavaliers should enjoy a near-permanent house with Matthews, which was the right wing winger at the beginning. This alone should ensure an increase in ice time from an average of 18:31 last season. He also promised to be the middle-flow station for the top strong division, especially when Marner left. If his game can also take the next step in development, then there will be no big difficulty for his second straight season to predict the NHL.com.
Verdict: 68 points seem a bit low for the Maple Leaf’s fast-rise superstar.
Matias MacCelli: 50 points
In three preseason games, Maccelli was nearly a quarter of the then-Utah Hockey Club. It was both the effect of his starting position with Maple Leaf and his prosecution of the 24-year-old man last season.
A lower body injury before the Christmas holiday derailed most of Maccelli’s second half, but that didn’t fully explain a campaign that allowed him to score 18 points in 55 games in 55 games and lose in Utah. A 50-point projection shows that last season was a kind of fl luck, and this view was supported in the impressive preseason for Finnish wingers. Don’t pour too much cold water on that theory, but given Maccelli’s uncertain position in the top six, it seems a bit ambitious.
Verdict: Despite a 50-point preseason, McKelly’s encouraging preseason seems to be a tough demand for new players.
Maximum Domi: 47 points
Speaking of acting as if it didn’t seem to happen in 2024-25, Domi will definitely be happy to wipe the slate clean after performing poorly last season. It seems that NHL.com Fantasy Projector has done this, predicting the same 47-point output as he did in 2023-24. Of course, this relies not only on a rebound season, but also on a more important role in Manner’s absence, but brings some momentum in a strong playoffs (3 goals and 7 points in 13 games).
There were so many encouraging signs ahead of his 2025-26 season, and unfortunately, Domi didn’t have a chance to attend a better training camp. When his grandfather passed away, the 30-year-old had been injured in a low body. While the pain of losing a beloved family member will certainly continue, now hopefully he can turn the page around and refocus on the seasons full of opportunities.
Verdict: A strong start will go a long way in securing Domi’s position in the lineup and making the 47-point projection a reality.
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Morgan Rielly: 45 points
When it comes to Maple Leaf’s comeback competitors, no one has the same optimistic focus as Rielly. Toronto Blue Long Blue liner reflects a lot of candid performance in the disappointing 2024-25 campaign, he admitted: “My game has dropped. I’m very proud of my career and I’m really disappointed.

Now, Rielly has a chance to prove that he was firmly placed in the rearview mirror last season. As far as they are concerned, NHL.com seems unsure he can do it, providing a 45-point projection that is closer to last season’s actual 41-point output than their 67 before his incredible campaign or the 58 he won in 2023-24. While an entire season with Brandon Carlo and gave him more offensive freedom, after 30, the long record of players bounce from next season has not been a long record (though there are Tavares).
Verdict: Rielly could be a fashion choice for a major revival this season,,,,, However, NHL.com’s projection of moderately rising in production may be more realistic.
Bobby McMann: 44 points
At the risk of putting too much pressure on the defender’s back, Maple Leafs’ May Fortune is at least somewhat intertwined with Bobby McMann’s game. The 29-year-old won 20 goals in his first NHL season, one of the few depths of offensive influence. If he continues to improve the same progress, he can play a central role in providing some much-needed balanced scores for the club’s forward.
Although McMahon made some top six guest appearances last season, the 20 goals (and 34 points) came primarily with the bottom six forward option, earning a lot of feed from the likes of Steven Lorenz and Pontes Holmberg. The former Nicolas Roy is going to start the season with Nicolas Roy at least, and the former Golden Knight should help provide the necessary stability and entertainment to facilitate another statistical jump.
Verdict: McMahon looks like another leap, which may see him pushing the plateau up 50 points.
Last season, at least where NHL.com predicted, Maple Leaf brought a bag of underperformers and super results. All of this reached the Atlantic Division title and Game 7 of the second round of the game, arguably the organization’s best performance in the past quarter-century. It remains to be seen how much the Crystal Ball ticket price this season.




