The downturn in the Trevor story and the endless legend of the Red Sox Infield

After missing most of the seasons over the past three seasons due to injuries (including last year except for 26 games), Trevor's story is healthy enough to play 48 of the Red Sox's first 51 games. He played well in the first few weeks of the season, but he has been in a deep downturn lately. As Boston struggles to climb the .500, but is shocked by promising young players, he may fight for his job.
The 32-year-old Story entered this season having played just 163 games since the Red Sox signed him to a six-year, $140 million deal in March 2022. He played just 94 games in 2022 due to a hairline fracture in his right wrist and a contusion on his left heel, then just 43 in '23 after undergoing internal brace surgery to repair a torn ulnar collating ligament, and 26 last year before fracturing the glenoid rim and tearing the back lip of the left shoulder. Not only did it miss a lot of time – basically two of three seasons – but it also missed time at key points in his career. Even without disastrous injuries, not many players are the same at 32 as they were at 28, and the version of the story is able to produce at least 20 home runs and 20 steals, while the strong defense offered by shortstops may disappear.
By Wednesday, the story was only 65 WRC+, which is the seventh-lowest sign in the AL qualifiers. It's bad enough, but if we just divide his game in the midfield, his recent performance looks even worse, with both sides playing 24 games in the game:
Two Trevor stories
| Split | g | PA | human Resources | bb% | k% | avg | OBP | SLG | WRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By April 22 | twenty four | 98 | 5 | 3.1% | 28.6% | .319 | .347 | .500 | 135 |
| Since April 23 | twenty four | 102 | 1 | 4.9% | 32.4% | .137 | .196 | .173 | -3 |
| All | 48 | 200 | 6 | 4.0% | 30.5% | .228 | .270 | .333 | 65 |
It's a very unpleasant story for the story. He has been prone to strikeouts, with a record high of 191 in the NL in 2017 and also ranked in the top five in the NL for the next two seasons, but over time he cut his tendency and missed trends, falling from 34.4% in 2017 to 23.4% to 21% to 23.4%. In Boston, he has more than 30% of his injury season in every injury season. His current ratio is actually the lowest among his eyelashes, although it still ranks third in the AL qualifiers, while his total of 61 strikeouts. Unlike the two qualified AL batsmen of Logan O'Hoppe and Byron Buxton, the story isn't productive enough to ignore all of these strikeouts.
Looking at the various collapses, it shows that the story's offense is basically… collapsed. He chases more courts than ever, swings and disappears more than ever, hits the ball on the ground more than ever, keeps the ball less than ever (especially in the air) and is absolutely alive by four-piece relay fastballs. Even with all this, his overall contact quality was not bad – but the supply supported his output was too short.
Selectivity seems to be a special issue. When the story played for the Rockies, he swung at 48.6% of all the courts, with 28% falling outside the area at a rate just slightly above the league average. His ups and downs, big home run totals and percentages of heights weren't always as impressive on his home court, but for the most part, his approach worked. During his first three seasons in Boston, he began swinging more frequently (50.4% in 2022-24), but his chase rate was even greater to 33.4%, while his production backed. This year, he swayed with 55.6% of the court and chased 37.8%. The latter rate is only ranked in the sixth percentage point, and the combination of these two rates shows that he is pressing, expanding his area and trying to do too much. Of course, he missed a lot. The story's overall swing hit rate is 16.2%, two points higher than his 2022-24 rate in Boston (14.1%) and nearly four points higher than Colorado's rate (12.4%).
Inside or out in the area, the story is especially in the face to face with four salesmen. He hit 22.8% of those fastballs while hitting .164 and hitting .180 against them. His expected numbers for the court (.182 XBA, .285 XSLG) did not propose a stronger case. His Statcast running value for Fastball (-7) is virtual with Michael Toglia's lowest level.
“All the metrics, all the information we have – the bat's speed is there, his hands are what they deserve. Everything looks OK,” story manager Alex Cora said Saturday. “The only thing we don’t do now is hit the ball forward.”
“Just missed his stadium,” Cora continued. “That's the most important thing. I know he's swinging a lot, but he's got the ball in the area and he's fouling. After that, [pitchers] Go to work… 2-0, 3-1, [he] Missed his court and buried him. Earlier, he didn't do that. He was actually connecting and hitting the ball hard. It hasn't happened lately. ”
In Cora's case, after 2-0 in his career, the story reached .265/.478/.460. But this year, of the 19 plate appearances that started this way, he hit only .125/.263/.188. In this case, his 32 WRC+ is the lowest fifth among at least 15 PA players, which hits 2-0. Likewise, his career is .251/.573/.520 batsman, after 3-1, he made four walks and hits one by one in this year in this case and reached .156/.341/.281 with 41 pa, while in terms of quantity.
Once the story does connect at a career rate (70.8%), things aren't great. He hit more ground balls than fly balls, something he never did. His 48.4% ground ball rate is 14 points higher than his paramedic Mark, while his 1.41 ground ball rate is almost twice as high as his 0.79 career. His 31.3% pull rate and 7% air rate are the lowest in his career. The latter is less than half of last year's career low, 14.8%. Given that this story hit .466 in his career and hit 1.717 on the pull-air balloon, you can see that this could be a problem.
Given this novel, it was found that the link statistics for some stories were very good, at least a little surprised. His average exit rate of 89.6 mph is only ranked in the 43rd percentile, but his 10.2% barrel rate is in the 58th place, while his 46.9% hard hit rate is in the 70th place. His bat speed is a worrying issue – ranked 27th percentile in the 27th percentile – but even though he rarely plays (18.7%, fourth percentile), he does have some solid touch. Again, the bigger problem is that he just didn't do it Enough it.
Defensively, this year’s story (418 2/3) has played more in the shortstop (418 2/3) than any season since coming to the Red Sox. He spent 2022 at second base and Xander Bogaerts played shortstop. Even in small samples, his defensive metrics are not a good position (-3 drs, -2 frv). He has never posted negative Drs before, only twice he fell into red with his FRV. This season has taken a significant step from the past two years, when he combined 10 DRS and 8 FRVs in the shortstop 541 2/3 innings.
Both sides of the story struggle with Boston’s biggest problem this year – lack of production in any infield except for third base, free agent Alex Bregman’s arrival shocked everything in a way that continued to reverberate. Strangely, the way the domino drop has been proposed in local media helps keep the story’s work in keeping with him as Shen’s cost-free or at least moving him to the bench role. He signed in 2027 but still owed about $70 million, including $55 million after the season.
The Red Sox lost six times in the last nine games, now 25-26, between second base (net 0.2 WAR), shortstop (-0.1 WAR) and first base (-0.6 War), and their substitution levels are below substitution levels in all three positions. First base is not only their deepest dirt—the team used four players in total to reach .218/.286/.332 (68 WRC+), but it has become a new hub for ongoing drama. Starter Triston Casas was in trouble for the first five weeks of the season before rupturing the left pat tendon on May 2, requiring end-of-season surgery. Soon after, Red Sox Brass asked Devers (displaced from third base through Bregman's arrival), instantly learning the first base. The sl, who was still frustrated by the Red Sox's responsibilities, recently hit the ball. Meanwhile, Casas's substitute Romy Gonzalez has suffered a left quadrilateral contusion since May 7, and he has suffered a setback recently. Nick Sogard and Abraham Toro have held positions last week since then, but rookie Kristian Campbell has also begun working out in the position.
Recall that the 22-year-old Campbell won his second basic job in spring training and received a $60 million contract renewal in just one week of his major league career. He is still a newbie to Keystone, who played 51 games among minors and 34 games in college. His -8 drs and -3 FRV both became the second highest score in the Grand Slam in their respective categories, with only the National Luis García Jr.
Campbell will take over first base is not a deal to close. “He's learning how to hit second base at this level … It's still a work going on,” Cora said last week. “Obviously, we threw it at him, but we believe he can actually digest it. It's not like [Campbell] Tomorrow, hit the first base. We just want to see the footwork, how he moves, and then walk from there. ”
If Campbell does get to first base, it will recall Marcelo Mayer for the team, a 50th rupees prospect. There were 57 out of the top 100 prospects in February. The 22-year-old Mayer, apparently the heir to the story, made appearances for all professional defensive appearances in addition to his two professional defensive appearances this season and ranked third in April, but recently, he began to earn second base rep on Triple-A Worcester, a plan he plans to play three to four games a week. Offensively, he hits a high percentage, but not anomaly (.265/.344/.452, 109 WRC+).
“Just put those [developments] Together [to see a path to the big leagues]Mayer said Tuesday. “for me, [I’m] Just do my best every day to prepare, so when my time comes, I can help the team. ”
If the latter's bats don't recover, such a plan wouldn't rule out Mayer's time in shortstop, but would at least buy veteran time. If the Red Sox does find themselves controversial, then they may end up dealing with first basemen, knocking Campbell (who also played five games in midfield, and left both back to an increasingly crowded second base/outfield pool. The group could also include 21-year-old prospect Roman Anthony (No. 2 of our top 100 in February), who has been in the .316/.449/.510 (150 WRC+) clip when playing all three outfield positions at Worcester.
The story has missed so much time since signing with the Red Sox that our expectations of his abilities may be outdated. Our remaining season depth chart predictions (81 WRC+, 0.9 War) didn't draw a beautiful picture, but now, even these numbers can improve his work. The Red Sox may soon have to consider the reality of this chapter of the story.



