Fangraphs are at least 60% chance to stay ahead at the end of the regular season for each current department leader at least on the latest playoff odds. However, not all of these opportunities are equal, and the two division leaders are much less likely to stick to their titles than the rest.
One is the Blue Jays, and as of yesterday’s poll, about 45% of MLBTR readers think they can stick to the department. The other is the Astronaut, who controlled the department behind the main dominant month of June 19-7, but has been working hard to keep pace since. They are 26-29 since early July, and since July 24. Houston managed to withstand Al West’s Mariners and Rangers so far, actually having a bigger lead (three games) than Seattle’s lead in mid-August (three games).
The rebound in recent weeks has helped them make ends meet, but there are still concerning reasons. The first two who once spinned the domination have now dropped to one. although Brown Hunter It’s still pleasing to win his legal considerations for the Cy Young Award in a sport Framber Valdez Era north of the 6.00 era has been struggling since early August. The cowshed is in Josh Hard The lineup was occupied by the sprained shoulder and the lineup was not scoring enough. The Astronauts ranked 29th in the Grand Slam since August and 21st since early July. Cam Smith He didn’t have a strong start this year. Isaac Paredes and Jack Meyers On the injured list, Jeremy Pena No longer hit like a potential MVP candidate.
All of these flaws in the roster make Houston vulnerable, and their +14 running variance is not only lower than the Mariners and Rangers’ differences, but the lowest of any team currently in the playoff position. Three more games against Seattle in the six games against Texas are still on the September schedule, and they need to get them out directly with those teams to keep the department going. This provides an opportunity for these clubs to make up a lot of the foundation in a relatively short period of time. Houston doesn’t have to clean up the underdogs in other games due to the toughest scheduling advantages left by the department.
All of this might make Astros look like they want to cut their jobs for them while Al West remains ahead. While this is certainly true, it does not seem to be advantageous to them or to have obvious advantages. On the one hand, most of the injured luck returned by other players has balanced. Yordan Alvarez and Christian JavierIn particular, the influence of Houston is an influential work. Although players such as Smith and Pena have cooled down to varying degrees Jose Altuve and Christian Walker After a difficult start to the season, the clock turned in the second half. Carlos Correa Now, he’s back to Houston than he’s playing at Minnesota, perhaps the senior core of Altuf, Walker, Correa and Alvarez will be able to turn things around in the offense in the final month of the season.
Another thing that is good for Houston is that Seattle and Texas are not exactly behemoths. The Mariners’ lineup has put forward considerable numbers Cal Raleigh,,,,, Julio Rodriguezand Randy Arozarenatheir automatic start rotation this season looks more vulnerable than in the past few years. They will get help from a vulnerable schedule, which has allowed them to hit them with people like St. Louis, Colorado and Atlanta in the final weeks of the season George Kirby and Logan Gilbert Posting numbers that are better than their league average season numbers, which may not be enough. As for the ranger Nathan Eovaldi,,,,, Marcus Semienand Corey Seager The team’s senior core has been removed for the foreseeable future. The losses from Semien and Seager in particular have forced them to rely on a reliable set of position players to perform stretching as they hope to take advantage of their six games this month against Astros.
How do MLBTR readers view the chances of October in Houston vs. AL West Crown? Will their senior core score enough goals, or will the Mariners or even Rangers take over? There is a say in the following polls:
