Giancarlo Stanton’s New York Yankees didn’t completely disappear, cleverly. There is no doubt that Stanton has accumulated less wars in New York in eight years than Judge Aaron in 2024. When the Yankees acquired Stanton in late 2017, it was expected that he would be the foundation of the roster for the next decade as he completed the Hall of Fame case. But Stanton suffered an injured parade thanks to a solid and stable debut season in the Bronx season, leaving him with just one 120 season, and his god-level exit speed quickly became his main offensive skill. Five hundred home runs, which seemed to be Stanton’s last disappointing milestone, is increasingly loving the pleasant result.
Stanton’s health remains a problem as he missed most of the season because Both Elbow. However, the result he gets available is the classic Marlin wine: .313/.388/.663 lined up, with 17 home runs and 1.9 wars, 1.9 wars in 51 games, and the war is the best since 2021. Since 2021, the judge has been buckling fatigue first, and then with his equal power, he has become more and more in Stanton, even Stanton’s victory, even Yanke has become more and more.
So, how did he do it? Instead of completely changing his game, Stanton is like his own firmest version. His average exit speed and hard hit rate are the highest ever, while his out-of-region swing rate is the lowest in years. His swing’s attack angle has improved several degrees, enough to give him an ideal attack angle of 65% of the time, from 60% in 2024 and 57% in 2023. We don’t have bat tracking data, but we Do Knowing that Stanton has a high flying rate and ground ball career slow speed.
Even now, Stanton is about the same speed as George RR Martin’s novel, the ground ball isn’t necessarily the worst thing in the world. During the Statcast era, Stanton’s ground players had a BABIP of .271, 30 points better than the league average for that time period. As with most aspects of the game, playing baseball hard is a useful skill, and that’s no different, as the ground hits 95 mph with a BABIP of .171 BABIP, while the batsman hits 95 mph, or, more difficultly, a .387 BABIP. Still, Stanton’s average hit score in the game almost matches the average score in the game’s fly ball score, and the home run is much better!
I wrote about Stanton’s Hall of Fame case about 18 months ago, and the story didn’t look like the sunshine in 2024 and the first half of 2025. At the time, I included Stanton’s expected professional war, home runs and hits after each season of his career. Here is an update, added to 2024:
ZIPS Project – Giancarlo Stanton Career Total
| back | Professional War | Professional Human Resources | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 62.2 | 615 | 2134 |
| 2011 | 68.1 | 616 | 2127 |
| 2012 | 91.6 | 668 | 2388 |
| 2013 | 69.8 | 599 | 2056 |
| 2014 | 100.5 | 643 | 2426 |
| 2015 | 90.6 | 654 | 2174 |
| 2016 | 78.9 | 655 | 2279 |
| 2017 | 98.0 | 719 | 2668 |
| 2018 | 62.1 | 617 | 2259 |
| 2019 | 53.3 | 531 | 1973 |
| 2020 | 48.2 | 479 | 1798 |
| 2021 | 45.4 | 507 | 1800 |
| 2022 | 47.5 | 502 | 1823 |
| 2023 | 42.8 | 485 | 1758 |
| 2024 | 43.2 | 492 | 1783 |
Zips’ predictions are more excited about Stanton’s predictions than they have been for a long time. In the simpler model updated daily, his remaining season WRC+ projection is 127 and 134 in the most powerful version of the model. Naturally, this makes his predictions increase his previous predictions:
Zipper projection – Giancarlo Stanton
| Year | BA | OBP | SLG | ab | r | h | 2b | 3b | human Resources | RBI | BB | so | SB | OPS+ | war |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | .238 | .317 | .519 | 428 | 55 | 102 | 27 | 0 | 31 | 78 | 48 | 148 | 1 | 130 | 2.3 |
| 2027 | .230 | .309 | .489 | 352 | 42 | 81 | twenty two | 0 | twenty three | 59 | 39 | 127 | 0 | 120 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | .214 | .296 | .438 | 308 | 34 | 66 | 18 | 0 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 115 | 0 | 103 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | .205 | .286 | .405 | 190 | 19 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 26 | twenty one | 75 | 0 | 92 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | .191 | .265 | .382 | 89 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 36 | 0 | 80 | -0.1 |
Eighty-seven home runs (83 of these forecasts and four more for the rest of 2025) put his career at 533, giving him some substantial licenses in the 500 home run milestones and bringing him closer to 2,000 hits. It’s good for the Yankees and a chance for Stanton to become a Hall of Fame. I can’t talk about what other writers think of Stanton, but the version we’ve seen in 2025 actually made me excited to watch him chase 500 home runs. I have the same love for the good circular numbers for most baseball fans, but for me, the milestone is Distant It’s even more compelling when the player is actually good at the end of the chase. Miguel Cabrera was a simple Hall of Fame vote for me, but I was barely happy with his 500th home run or 3,000th strike because his achievements involved him – very blunt – for most of the decade, he was a very bad Major League Baseball player.
For the same reason, the 2022-24 edition of Stanton giving it to a 500-book home plate isn’t something I care too much about and won’t make me more likely to retire after 2021 or 2022. Jiménez or JD Davis is greater than the oldest.
but this Stanton hit a lot of balls in the air, hoping to hit more in the .250-.260 range rather than .200, which is a more attractive player. Hopefully, he found the inner Giancarlo, but he would not lose it again. Stanton in 2025 is someone who looks like Cooperstown, not Cooperstown, which is enough to flip into the Yankees game and see him play.
