The damage of Kodai Senga and Tylor Megill makes the Mets spin on the spot

A week ago, as Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas continued their recovery mission, journalists and fans wondered that two shoters (both suffered injuries before the calendar fell to March) would be by far the best to date. When asked, Mets manager Carlos Mendoza replied, “It usually works for itself.” “We still have to have at least two weeks to make these decisions and I hope it will be a tough decision when we get there. It means everyone is healthy. It means everyone continues to throw the ball well and we have some good problems.”

While the Mets still have the NL best record (45-28), thanks to rotational work since the start of the regular season, it is exceptionally durable – their decisions about the pair have become more complicated. In a quick and continuous manner, both Kodai Senga and Tylor Megill were on the list of injuries, with the former having a hamstring strain and the latter having a sprained elbow. Everyone may have missed at least a month, and so far, neither Manaea nor Montas have indicated that he is ready.

On Thursday, at Citi Field, Senga absolutely carved the Nationals, slapped them into a hit (James Wood’s first inning single) while taking a walk, hitting five people on one side. In sixth, he ran out of first base as he lured CJ Abrams to hit Pete Alonso’s sharp ground, and his pitcher was high. Senga jumped into the air to catch the ball and then stretched her right leg far enough that his toes touched the corner of the bag in time to beat Abrams. It was an impressive acrobatic show, but the pitcher grabbed his right hamstring when he landed immediately and then fell to the ground.

The Mets put Senga on the 15-day injury list Friday afternoon and sent him to MRI, giving relatively good news as the 32-year-old Righty only suffered from the first grade pressure. The Mets shut him down for two weeks, and the doctor will reevaluate him. If he recovers completely, he still has to go through the throwing progress and healing before he can return to the rotation.

“It depends on the players,” Mendoza said on Friday. “It’s two weeks of very little physical exercise. Hopefully we can keep the arms moving forward, but he has to be asymptomatic before we start upgrading. So, it could be four, five, six, six, six [weeks]. Who knows? But, this is a low-level, and this is good news. ”

This is Senga’s second season in a row on IL. Last year, he pulled his shoulder capsules tight during spring training and then returned to a start on July 26, during which time he tightened his left leg. He didn’t return to the Mets until the playoffs, when he had two starts and one relief for a total of five innings. He was definitely rusty, leaving seven people, hitting out four, allowing seven runs.

Senga rebounded from that lost season in an impressive way, although he didn’t dominate as the NL’s best 1.47 ERA suggests. His 10.6% walk rate is the third highest in the league among qualified starters – Senga will stand out once the Mets play the next game – and his 23.9% strikeout rate is in the middle, 5.2 points lower than his first season in 2023 (his first). Only his Homer rate (0.49 per 9 points, third in the NL) is the exception. In both league starters, he outperformed the second biggest profit: his FIP:

So how did Senga do it? Kiri Oler recently explored Senga’s reliance on seam-carrying wakeup to deceive and surprise the batsman with his various pitches; he threw six times at least 5% of the time with his forklift and passed the ball with outstanding results. His mixing and matching helps him stay effective against a batsman for the second and third time in the game. The .220 WOBA he allowed in the latter case was the lowest in the Grand Slam. I added that his ERA-FIP differences are attributed to sequencing and the effectiveness of his runners at the base. His 17% doubles percentage ranks ninth in the qualifiers:

Meanwhile, Senga’s .197 Woba allows runners to be in the scoring position (.103/.224/.172) as the initial third place in the Grand Slam. Teammate Clay Sherlock Holmes (.172 WOBA) minimum level.

As for Megill, the 29-year-old right went through what he called “some pulls” when he started the game against the Rays on Saturday, mainly when he threw a breakthrough while he was particularly hard at controlling his slider. After the MRI, he was diagnosed with an elbow sprain, and although the Mets have not disclosed which ligament is damaged, it is Ulnar’s mortgage ligament according to Carroll’s legal ligament under the knife: “What we have here, according to sources, a small source is a very small sprain, and a team may control and monitor his time. Start the fast ramp.” Mendoza told reporters that the best situation for Megill’s return is four to five weeks. Given UCL’s involvement, the worst case scenario is Tommy John’s surgery.

It was an unbalanced season for Megill, with both the highest strikeout rate and 3.95 ERA among regular starters for the Mets. He released 1.03 ERA in his first five games, totaling 24 2/3 innings, including the team’s opening day game against the Astros – but he has been ignited as 5.56 ERA in the last nine rounds, totaling 43 2/3 innings. Even though he walked 10.8% of the batsmen, he had the highest difference in strikeouts among all Mets starters (18.4%), while his 3.36 FIP trails were only Senga and Peterson (3.07) (3.07, and 2.60 ERA). Because he tends to calculate in depth, Megill has been on short traction. He lasted at least six innings, only two, with only one quality start, and five of his 14 innings were pulled before completing 5 innings, including a 4 2/3 innings 10-inning effort against Red Sox on May 21. He is one of two Mets, playing 10 innings with Griffin Canning while averaging less than 5 innings per game:

Despite the brief work, Megill did a great job, lacking bats and barrels, which could be useful after the rotation.

As a unit, the Mets’ rotation has the lowest ERA (2.95) and home run rate (per nine), and the third-lowest FIP ​​(3.55) in the NL, this impressive performance is impressive, given that our preseason position rankings ranked 19th in Manaea and Montas, the former once ranked 19th in the preseason rankings, while the former won high pressure and had a higher effort and a high tension. The team is one of four teams with only four starters, playing at least 13 games with the Angels, Cardinals and Rays. Michael Baumann recently wrote that Peterson has not allowed more than 3 runs in his 14 games. He leads the team in the inning (86 2/3), Quality Beginning (Nine) and War (2.0). His 2.60 ERA ranks fourth in the NL after a three-game winning streak against the Braves on Tuesday night, after a seven-inning game last Wednesday. Holmes has not competed in Major League Baseball since 2018 until he signed a three-year, $38 million deal last winter, with his ERA (No. 11 in the league) and 3.93 FIP scored 2.87 ERA. Canning is a former first-round draft pick that rarely meets Angels’ expectations and has so far been the best figures in careers in ERA (3.80) and FIP (4.19) despite his limited workload.

As for Manaea and Montas, both are in trouble during the rehabilitation mission. The 33-year-old Manaea, who offered 3.47 ERA and 3.83 FIP in 181 2/3 innings, signed a three-year, $75 million contract with the Mets, and so far it has won three games for Brooklyn High-A Brooklyn. He increased from 36 goals to 46 to 56, but he surrendered seven times in 6 2/3 innings. Still, he will head to Triple-A Syracuse to continue his recovery work and begins on Friday. The math for establishing pitch counts shows that he might need at least a few rounds before the Metropolitan visits him.

The 32-year-old Montas signed a two-year, $34 million deal with the Mets, signing a 4.84 ERA and 4.71 FIP for the Reds and Brewers in 150 2/3 innings, has been eliminated to a greater extent. Syracuse has a total of 13 2/3 innings in two games in Brooklyn, and he has an ERA of 13.17 and allows seven home runs, walking nine times and hitting 10. His three-pointers started particularly badly. He gave up four home runs (and five runs) in four innings on June 3, and then he lasted only 53 goals on June 13, while scoring seven hits and eight runs and recording only five games after throwing 76 innings in 3 2/3 innings on June 8.

As Mendoza said Tuesday, Montas has been behind the batsman, “when he was delivering, he had poor mechanical movement on the mound.” His mechanic reportedly performed better in the starting bullpen game at Citi Field, but his time was running out. He will start Syracuse on Wednesday but reached a 30-day recovery mission in the 30-day race unless he returns from Tommy John’s surgery or retreats from additional injuries or setbacks, but he retreats before his next round appears on June 22. The Mets can squeeze out the appearance during a short break and then add him to the 26ers roster, which could be a good preparation if they plan to send him to the bullpen.

The team does have other options until Montas and Manet are ready. Paul Blackburn has been placed in Senga’s rotation and will face the Braves on Wednesday. The 31-year-old Righty was limited to 14 times last year because of a stress response on his right foot, a hand contusion, and a spinal cord leak in the playoffs. When he was available, he released 4.66 ERA and 4.63 FIP in 75 1/3 innings. During spring training, the injured bug bit him again and missed the first two months of the season due to inflammation in his right knee. He made his five-innings debut against the Dodgers on June 2 and made two saves against the Rockies on June 8.

Since Manaea and Montas aren’t likely to be in combat in Friday’s game against the Phillies, the team will need a click player, so the choice of two pitchers who could drop to Syracuse in the 40-man roster, are 40-man, Justin Hagenman and Blade Tidwell (yes, Blade). Hagenman, the 28-year-old right of our Penn State, threw 3 1/3 innings in the April 16 debut, after his big appearance after the opener Huaster Brazobán. Although his overall 6.15 ERA and Syracuse’s 5.15 FIP is ugly, he has hit out with 22 strikeouts and 22 walks on the 3.18 ERA since returning from a finger injury in mid-May. Tidwell, a 24-year-old Righty, is the second round pick for the 2022 team at the University of Tennessee, with a 45-foot outlook that prevails. In his May 4 debut, he was sidled by in the 3 2/3 innings and received a sleeve strike in Syracuse’s 32/3 innings, with a 4.76 ERA and 4.28 FIP.

Mendoza and the front desk will pick in a way who will catch the Mets. But, a week ago, it seemed like a good question, and now it deviates from this question on a cautionary tale. As usual, you can’t have too many pitches.